UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp Florida St 1
  
Florida St            
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 89.7478

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 824 N Georgia Tech ACC ( 7- 5, 94.7) 21-24 902 H Boston Col ` ACC ( 7- 5, 93.4) 13-28 914 H Memphis American (10- 2, 93.3) 12-20 921 H California ACC ( 6- 6, 92.7) 14- 9 928 A SMU ACC (11- 2, 96.6) 16-42 1005 H Clemson ACC (10- 3, 96.1) 13-29 1018 A Duke ACC ( 9- 3, 95.0) 16-23 1026 A Miami ACC (10- 2, 96.6) 14-36 1102 H UNC ACC ( 6- 6, 92.2) 11-35 1109 A Notre Dame IND (11- 1, 98.3) 3-52 1123 H Charles. So 41- 7 1130 H Florida SEC ( 7- 5, 94.8) 11-31

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   824 N Georgia Tech           21-24      -3    -5           1.99
   902 H Boston Col   `         13-28     -15    -3    -     -2.30
   914 H Memphis                12-20      -8    -3    -     -2.35
   921 H California             14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.03
   928 A SMU                    16-42     -26    -8           0.00
  1005 H Clemson                13-29     -16    -5           0.00
  1018 A Duke                   16-23      -7    -6           0.00
  1026 A Miami                  14-36     -22    -8           0.00
  1102 H UNC                    11-35     -24    -1    -     -3.50
  1109 A Notre Dame              3-52     -49    -9           0.00
  1130 H Florida                11-31     -20    -4          -0.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   902 H Boston Col   `         13-28     -15    -3    -     -2.30
   914 H Memphis                12-20      -8    -3    -     -2.35
  1102 H UNC                    11-35     -24    -1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   921 H California             14- 9       5    -2    +++    7.03

Florida St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col ` Boston Col `  
California Florida St Florida St  
Clemson Clemson Clemson  
Duke Duke Duke  
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech Georgia Tech  
Louisville Louisville Louisville   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Miami Miami Miami  
UNC UNC UNC  
NC St NC St insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Pittsburgh
SMU SMU SMU  
Stanford Stanford insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech Va Tech   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Wake Forest Wake Forest insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) Wake Forest
Army Army tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Army
Charlotte Florida St tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Florida St
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Florida St   Florida St
Memphis Memphis Memphis  
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Navy
No Texas No Texas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) No Texas
Rice Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
So Florida Florida St tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Florida St
Temple Florida St   Florida St
Tulane Tulane tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tulane
Tulsa Florida St   Florida St
UAB Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
UTSA UTSA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston   Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Oklahoma St   Oklahoma St
TCU TCU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UCF tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UCF
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA   UCLA
USC USC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin   Wisconsin
Florida Intl Florida St   Florida St
Jacksonv. St Florida St   Florida St
Kennesaw St Florida St   Florida St
Liberty Florida St   Florida St
La Tech Florida St   Florida St
Middle Tenn Florida St tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Florida St
NM St Florida St   Florida St
SHouston St SHouston St   SHouston St
UTEP Florida St   Florida St
We Kentucky Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
UMass Florida St   Florida St
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
UConn UConn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UConn
Akron Florida St   Florida St
Ball St Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
Bowl. Green Bowl. Green   Bowl. Green
Buffalo Florida St   Florida St
Cen Michigan Florida St   Florida St
Ea Michigan Florida St   Florida St
Kent State Florida St   Florida St
MiamiOH MiamiOH tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) MiamiOH
No Illinois No Illinois insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) No Illinois
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Florida St   Florida St
We Michigan Florida St   Florida St
Air Force Florida St   Florida St
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St Colorado St   Colorado St
Fresno St Fresno St   Fresno St
Hawaii Florida St   Florida St
Nevada Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
New Mexico Florida St   Florida St
San Diego St Florida St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Florida St
San Jose St San Jose St   San Jose St
UNLV UNLV   UNLV
Utah St Florida St   Florida St
Wyoming Florida St   Florida St
Oregon St Oregon St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon St
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida Florida  
Georgia Georgia Georgia   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kentucky Kentucky tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kentucky
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) LSU
Missouri Missouri insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Missouri
Miss St Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Georgia So   Georgia So
Georgia St Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
J Madison J Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana   Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss Florida St   Florida St
So Alabama So Alabama   So Alabama
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Florida St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida St
La-Monroe Florida St   Florida St

PowerWise = 39


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 N Georgia Tech    ( 7- 5, 94.7)    21-24       -5.17      13.09      -0.00         1.10            -5.68
   0 H Boston Col   `  ( 7- 5, 93.4)    13-28       -6.55      11.71      -0.91         1.10            -8.20
   0 H Memphis         (10- 2, 93.3)    12-20       -6.60      11.65      -0.91         1.10            -8.26
   0 H California      ( 6- 6, 92.7)    14- 9       -7.21      11.04      -0.91         1.10            11.16
   0 A SMU             (11- 2, 96.6)    16-42       -3.28      14.98       0.91         1.10            -2.61
   0 H Clemson         (10- 3, 96.1)    13-29       -3.76      14.49      -0.91         1.10            -5.14
   0 A Duke            ( 9- 3, 95.0)    16-23       -4.90      13.36       0.91         1.10            -4.39
   0 A Miami           (10- 2, 96.6)    14-36       -3.29      14.97       0.91         1.10            -2.62
   0 H UNC             ( 6- 6, 92.2)    11-35       -7.75      10.51      -0.91         1.10            -9.52
   0 A Notre Dame      (11- 1, 98.3)     3-52       -1.59      16.66       0.91         1.10            -0.76
   0 H Florida         ( 7- 5, 94.8)    11-31       -5.11      13.15      -0.91         1.10            -6.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -42.65

winning pts = 11.1557 losing points = -53.8050

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------